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The spatiotemporal evolution of homicides in Ecuador from 2015 to 2022
Journal
Investigaciones Geográficas
ISSN
1989-9890
Date Issued
2025-07-23
Author(s)
Christian Sánchez-Carrillo
Abstract
In recent years, the homicide rate in Ecuador has displayed a particularly worrying increase. Therefore, this study seeks to identify the spatial and temporal patterns of homicides in Ecuador from 2015 to 2022.
Using official data and combining spatial analysis techniques, the aim is to gain a better understanding of the extent of the phenomenon.
On a regional level, Ecuador has relatively high homicide rates and excess risk compared to other countries. Within the country, 74% of homicides occur in the coastal region and 21% in the highlands. The 20-29 age group is most affected (34%), 88% of whom are men. Furthermore, the homicide rate has increased dramatically, from around 6 to 8 per 100,000 inhabitants per year to 25 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2022. Spatiotemporal analysis on a more local administrative level (cantons) makes it possible to focus on the most critical municipalities.
The problem of deteriorating socio-economic conditions and increasing violence is widespread in Latin America and seriously affects public health indicators, so it is important to understand the dynamics of homicides on a local, regional and global level.
Using official data and combining spatial analysis techniques, the aim is to gain a better understanding of the extent of the phenomenon.
On a regional level, Ecuador has relatively high homicide rates and excess risk compared to other countries. Within the country, 74% of homicides occur in the coastal region and 21% in the highlands. The 20-29 age group is most affected (34%), 88% of whom are men. Furthermore, the homicide rate has increased dramatically, from around 6 to 8 per 100,000 inhabitants per year to 25 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2022. Spatiotemporal analysis on a more local administrative level (cantons) makes it possible to focus on the most critical municipalities.
The problem of deteriorating socio-economic conditions and increasing violence is widespread in Latin America and seriously affects public health indicators, so it is important to understand the dynamics of homicides on a local, regional and global level.